Desindustrialização: uma análise das evidências para a economia brasileira no período de 2000-2017

Abstract

Given the constant debates among scholars about the possible deindustrialization process that the Brazilian economy would be going through in the last decades, there is no consensus, due to this aspect the present work of monographs talks about the facts in order to complement the subject. The method of the controversy will be used in this study, since the two views will be exposed (orthodox and heterodox) and after explaining these currents, the heterodox current was chosen for analysis on the process of deindustrialization in the Brazilian economy. Thus, the present study has as general objective to identify the existence of the process of deindustrialization in the Brazilian economy between the period of 2000 to 2017. To reach the main objective of the present research, will use the descriptive method, with the technique of bibliographic and documentary research. To analyze the causes and effects of the process of deindustrialization, analysis will be from the historical method of investigation. And the research technique to be used will be bibliographical and documentary research. When verifying if the Brazilian economy presents the indications of the deindustrialization process, the analysis will be based on secondary data, taken from sources like Central Bank of Brazil; Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics; Institute of Applied Economic Research. To reach this goal, the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method will be used and using the descriptive statistics technique. As a result, the Brazilian economy shows signs of being de-industrialized, compounded by the Dutch disease factor. In Brazil, events in the industrial sector are indicating that the phenomenon may be present, as in recent years the Brazilian economy has experienced a decline in economic growth, with a sharp fall in GDP largely due to a sharp fall in the manufacturing industry . The reprimarization of the Brazilian economy remains in evidence, since studies indicate that the export is based on the primary products to the detriment of manufactured products, forming, Dutch disease.